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We combine each student’s reading and math performance on the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT), which was Florida’s annual test administered to third through tenth graders during this window of time. To help us interpret the size of results, we transform FCAT scores into standardized units, where the average score is zero and the standard deviation is equal to one. To fix ideas about how big a standard deviation is, about 68% of students will be within one standard deviation of the average, and 95% will be within two. Or for a policy context, note that when schools face the threat of receiving an “F” on a state report card, researchers find that student achievement rises by 6-7% of a standard deviation compared to schools not facing such a threat.13 Estimated average effects of the policy change The easiest way to observe the potential effects of the policy change is to compare the over-time achievement growth of individual students attending more affected versus less affected schools. For each of the two different exposure measures, we compare student performance at schools above the 75th percentile of exposure to those at the 25th percentile of exposure. We present graphs that take 2010-11 – the year immediately prior to SSA – as our base year, allowing us to compare the years before versus after tenure reform. First, let’s compare student performance in schools with relatively high versus relatively low rates of teacher evaluation in the first year of the SSA regime. The 25th percentile school had 88% evaluation rates in 2011-12, while the 75th percentile school had 98% evaluation rates. As can be seen in the graph below, overall student performance – conditional on student fixed effects – was declining in the years prior to the policy change and rebounded in the years following the policy change.
For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://www.brookings.edu/research/did-tenure-reform-in-florida-affect-student-test-scores/
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